visto da Tullio Pascoli
RISK: THE SCIENCE AND POLITICS OF FEAR https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/2246398.Risk?from_search=true
FUTURE BABBLE https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/8610967-future-babble
SUPERFORECASTING (Philip E. Tetlock) https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/23995360-superforecasting
WHAT’S WRONG WITH EXPERT PREDICTIONS (Robin Hanson; Philip E. Tetlock; Bruce Bueno de Mezquita; Johan Cochrane; Jason Kuznicki) https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/18911450-what-s-wrong-with-expert-predictions